4 Months of Calorie Burn: What Have I Learned So Far?

I now have over 4 months of BodyMedia calorie burn data:

Nov 2012 Daily Average: 2,205
Dec 2012 Daily Average: 2,123
Jan 2013 Daily Average: 2,183
Feb 2013 Daily Average: 2,114

The average seems to be going down. Why?

Is this the result of changing habits, a change in seasons, or just pure dumb luck?

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